Tesla's $25,000 compact car will not be similar to the Cybertruck
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Walter Isaacson continues to make the rounds to promote his newest book, a biography of Elon Musk. The author has made podcast and morning show appearances and made some excerpts public to drive up book sales. If you've followed Musk and Tesla, there are few revelations, but some items are worth further inspection, as with some excerpts that Axios published.
Musk's ever-evolving vision for Tesla reveals a notable shift in the company's next-generation electric vehicle platform plans. Although Tesla initially announced Mexico as the production hub for its upcoming Gigafactory, recent updates suggest a change in locale to Giga Texas, occurring as recently as May.
Giga Mexico is Still on the Blueprint, but not the Hub
Musk explained this strategic shift by emphasizing the need for Tesla's design engineers close to the manufacturing hub. The proximity will enable immediate feedback, streamlining the process considerably. Musk told Isaacson, "Getting everyone to move to Mexico is never going to happen," pointing to the logistic hurdles of the initial choice.
Despite the reshuffling, the role of Giga Mexico remains central in Tesla's roadmap. The facility in Nuevo León will play a crucial part in Tesla's new EV generation. As affirmed by Nuevo León's governor, Samuel García Sepúlveda, a designated area outside Monterrey will house the production line for Tesla's $25,000 compact car, maintaining the initial agreement and showcasing the unwavering commitment to this project.
Robotaxi: Taking a Leaf from Cybertruck's Design
A fascinating revelation from Isaacson is the design inspiration for the upcoming robotaxi. Musk envisions a strong resemblance to the Cybertruck, sharing the architecture with the $25,000 compact car. However, when this bit of information was put on X.com, Musk responded: No, but Robotaxi will look like the future.
During a February design review session, Tesla chief designer Franz von Holzhausen showcased the early designs of both vehicles, winning Musk's appreciation for their futuristic, Cybertruck-inspired look. Musk highlighted the potential for people to feel like they're glimpsing into the future when they see these vehicles on the road, emphasizing their groundbreaking aesthetic.
Robotaxi Over $25,000 Car Musk's Preference
While both projects share a structural foundation, Musk's enthusiasm noticeably gravitates more toward the Robotaxi project, viewing it as the cornerstone of a transportation revolution. It's worth noting that Musk needed convincing from the Tesla team to retain a common architecture for the two projects. The CEO found the $25,000 vehicle to be less stimulating, stating, "It's really not that exciting of a product."
Despite Musk's lesser excitement for the $25,000 car, it holds its ground as a pivotal element in Tesla's portfolio, thanks to persistent advocacy from the Tesla team for a shared vehicle architecture between the two. Musk, albeit initially resistant, acknowledged the potential of harmonizing the architecture between the extraordinary and the accessible.
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For the first time in quite a while, Tesla has increased the price of one of its vehicle offerings. The Model S Long Range and the Model S Plaid have both received a hefty price increase. However, not all is bad - as Tesla also added a new benefit for buyers.
Price Increase
The price increase for the Model S is $5,000 - currently only in the United States. This price increase will likely impact other markets, including Canada, in the coming days.
The Model S Long Range now starts at $79,990, while the Model S Plaid now starts at $94,990. The Model S and Model X now have the same starting price. Interestingly, that’s also the same pricing point for the Cybertruck AWD and Cyberbeast Trimotor non-Foundation Series.
The vehicle configuration does not appear to have changed, so the new pricing is simply an increase rather than the addition or removal of features. Tesla previously cut the price of the Model S and Model X by 15% in 2023, so this could simply be an adjustment to ensure that the vehicle pricing stays in line with inflation and other factors.
Free Lifetime Supercharging
For those on the fence about ordering a Model S, Tesla has brought back Free Lifetime Supercharging when you order a new Model S on or after December 13, 2024. As always, Free Lifetime Supercharging is restricted to the buyer’s Tesla account and to that specific vehicle. It cannot be transferred to another vehicle or another owner after ownership transfer. It’s worth noting, that it also doesn’t exclude the owner from receiving Supercharger idle fees or congestion fees. There is currently no end date for this promotion.
There are currently no changes to the Model X, neither a price increase nor the addition of Lifetime Superchargering. However, when Tesla makes changes to one of their premium vehicles, it usually affects the other one as well. So be on the lookout for potential changes to the Model X offering in the coming days.
We’ve seen Tesla value Lifetime Supercharging at $5,000, so this falls in line with the price increase we’re seeing. It’s possible that Tesla will begin to bring back Lifetime Supercharging as a perk for buying into their more premium Model S and Model X cars, or this could be another temporary promotion to get buyers who are on the fence to go ahead and make their purchase while this promotion lasts.
Tesla recently showed off a demo of Optimus, its humanoid robot, walking around in moderately challenging terrain—not on a flat surface but on dirt and slopes. These things can be difficult for a humanoid robot, especially during the training cycle.
Most interestingly, Milan Kovac, VP of Engineering for Optimus, clarified what it takes to get Optimus to this stage. Let’s break down what he said.
Optimus is Blind
Optimus is getting seriously good at walking now - it can keep its balance over uneven ground - even while walking blind. Tesla is currently using just the sensors, all powered by a neural net running on the embedded computer.
Essentially, Tesla is building Optimus from the ground up, relying on as much additional data as possible while it trains vision. This is similar to how they train FSD on vehicles, using LiDAR rigs to validate the vision system’s accuracy. While Optimus doesn’t have LiDAR, it relies on all those other sensors on board, many of which will likely become simplified as vision takes over as the primary sensor.
Today, Optimus is walking blind, but it’s able to react almost instantly to changes in the terrain underneath it, even if it falls or slips.
What’s Next?
Next up, Tesla AI will be adding vision to Optimus - helping complete the neural net. Remember, Optimus runs on the same overall AI stack as FSD - in fact, Optimus uses an FSD computer and an offshoot of the FSD stack for vision-based tasks.
Milan mentions they’re planning on adding vision to help the robot plan ahead and improve its walking gait. While the zombie shuffle is iconic and a little bit amusing, getting humanoid robots to walk like humans is actually difficult.
There’s plenty more, too - including better responsiveness to velocity and direction commands and learning to fall and stand back up. Falling while protecting yourself to minimize damage is something natural to humans - but not exactly natural to something like a robot. Training it to do so is essential in keeping the robot, the environment around it, and the people it is interacting with safe.
We’re excited to see what’s coming with Optimus next because it is already getting started in some fashion in Tesla’s factories.