Tesla's latest earnings call updated listeners on the Cybertruck, which started deliveries last month. Elon Musk stated, “It's like finally, the future looks like the future… That's our best product ever.” The CEO’s statement sums up the excitement surrounding a vehicle that has captivated the imagination of generations.
Vaibhav Taneja, the company’s CFO, added, "Anywhere you go, people look at you, they give you thumbs up."
Cybertruck Demand and Production
The demand for the Cybertruck has been “off the hook,” according to Musk. Tesla revealed an impressive conversion rate from reservations to orders.
Karn Budhiraj, VP of Supply Chain of Tesla, emphasized, "The reservation to order conversion rates so far has been very, very encouraging. If the trend continues as it is very likely to be, we will soon sell out all the builds in 2024." This statement highlights the strong market demand for the Cybertruck, and Tesla's ability to meet consumer expectations will have to accelerate. “The numbers keep growing. So we're now all hands on deck, focused on ramping so we can fulfill all the demands in a reduced wait time.”
Cybertruck base
Not a Tesla App
Tesla's approach to meeting this demand is equally noteworthy. "It's important to emphasize that this is very much a production-constrained situation, not a demand-constrained situation," Musk stated, reaffirming that Cybertruck production will hit 250,000 per year. He also mentioned that Tesla could raise the price to manage demand, “obviously, we could dramatically raise the price, but that doesn't feel right to us to sort of gouge people for early delivery,” suggesting a commitment to affordability.
4680 Battery Cells: Expansion and Growth
A crucial element in the Cybertruck's production ramp-up is the 4680 battery cells. Tesla has been working tirelessly to increase the production of these cells. Karn Budhiraj reported, "To date, 4680 production is ahead of the ramp with actually weeks of finished cell inventory. And the goal is to keep it that way, not only for Cyber, but for our future vehicle programs.” This progress is critical to Tesla's ability to meet the Cybertruck demand without sacrificing quality or delaying delivery.
Tesla's manufacturing capabilities are set for significant expansion. The company is currently running one production line and one assembly line and using two assembly lines in addition to yield and rate improvement trials for the 4680. Budhiraj stated, “We have a fourth in commissioning, and four more will be installed starting in Q3 this year. So, definitely, this is a big year for ramping 4680.
This expansion will cater to Cybertruck's demand and bolster Tesla's overall production capacity for future vehicle programs. The executives emphasized that some companies only work on batteries, but it’s just one piece of Tesla. Musk said, “It's not just that it's a 46-millimeter diameter by 80-millimeter cell. That's just the dimensions. There's a tremendous amount of new technology in the cell itself.” And you thought Tesla was a car company.
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It has been a long wait for FSD for European customers, many of whom paid for the feature years ago on now legacy hardware. While the FSD transfer program has come and gone multiple times, there’s something to be said about having it available in North America, where it can be used, and in Europe or other countries, where it still just remains the same as Enhanced Autopilot (differences between Autopilot, EAP, and FSD).
FSD Transfer is a nice goodwill gesture from Tesla that in theory doesn’t cost them anything. Instead, it keeps customers, especially those who have been waiting for years, loyal and happy. It also incentivizes them to upgrade to a newer Tesla with HW4, where FSD will hopefully be achieved.
In a reply to a post on X, Elon agreed with the suggestion that offering FSD transfers in Europe would be a fair solution for those who have already purchased FSD but can’t use its capabilities.
FSD Transfer directly addresses a growing concern for many long-term European Tesla owners. Thousands of customers purchased the full package, often many years ago, with the expectation that FSD would eventually be capable and approved for use. However, the reality is that FSD, even as an advanced driver assistance system (ADAS), continues to be pushed back in Europe.
Without the transfer program, it's a difficult choice: either throw away your original investment in FSD and pay for the package a second time (FSD price history), or subscribe to it in the future.
Offering FSD transfers is a good way for Tesla to meet them halfway. It's a difficult situation, and one that’s being hindered by processes beyond the control of both the customer and Tesla. However, a transfer helps both parties. Tesla sells another vehicle, and the customer gets to keep FSD.
When Will it Be Available?
Based on how FSD transfers have worked in the past following Elon’s announcements, this feature is likely to become available for a limited time period in the coming days or weeks. If it happens, we should expect an announcement from Tesla Europe on X and emails being sent out to Tesla customers.
Once the program is in place, all you need to do is complete your vehicle purchase and then inform your Tesla sales advisor that you’d like to transfer FSD. You don’t even have to sell or trade in your old Tesla; FSD will simply be removed from it as a feature.
Hopefully, Tesla enables FSD Transfers for everyone, regardless of region. It should be an ongoing offer until at least FSD is approved in the given country or region.
The introductory price for Tesla’s Robotaxi Network has finally been updated. In a post on X, Elon Musk confirmed that the new fare would be rolling out to complement the new Robotaxi geofence expansion.
This change marks the first adjustment to Tesla’s fares since the initial $4.20 launch price 23 days ago. While the price increase may seem significant in terms of percentages, when compared to other options in the ride-hailing area, it is still drastically cheaper.
But the price is now a princely $6.90, as foretold in the prophecy 😂
Robotaxi currently operates on a simple, flat-rate model. The new $6.90 fare gets you a ride to anywhere within the recently expanded geofence.
So far, this is the opposite approach compared to other services, such as Waymo or traditional ride-sharing options like Uber and Lyft. All these services use dynamic pricing based on distance, time of day, and demand. A comparable trip on any one of these services could cost anywhere from $30 to $65, and potentially even higher during peak hours.
That doesn’t even include the tip fees for human drivers either - another win for Robotaxi (can you tip a Robotaxi?).
Even with the adjustment, the flat $6.90 fare remains less than half the price of a typical competing ride, making Robotaxi the most affordable point-to-point transportation option in Austin, aside from mass transit, for now.
A “Maturing” Service
The price change, moving from one meme-worthy number to another, is a sign that Robotaxi is finally graduating from its initial pilot phase. Following the first major expansion of the service area, this adjustment is a logical next step towards finding a more sustainable flat price.
While the new fare is a 65% increase over the old fare, the key takeaway is that it is still far cheaper than other options, and still just as meme-worthy. Tesla is aiming to have its early access riders complete as many rides as possible during these early months, and this pricing is still very reflective of that.
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