New car models used in FSD Beta 10.12 visualization
mariapazz000/Twitter
The first signs of Tesla's FSD Beta 10.12 finally surfaced
yesterday as Tesla employees started receiving the internal beta.
The internal beta initially had a version of 2022.12.3.10, but
it looks like Tesla has aleady issued an update with version 2022.12.3.15 (FSD Beta 10.12.1).
It's not clear yet whether this will be the exact version that
will be rolled out to public testers or if additional updates will be made.
If Tesla finds any major issues, they'll want to fix them before
rolling out the update to external testers.
New Car Models
New car models
WholeMarsBlog/Twitter
FSD Beta 10.12 introduces new vehicle models for almost every
vehicle type.
Some of the vehicles have been completely redesigned and are
more detailed and realistic looking than the previous models.
For example, a sedan now has wheels, windows and a glass roof,
instead of the previous simplistic look that resembled a Model S keyfob.
New Brake Lights
Although brakes lights were already displayed as of beta 9.0, Tesla is now displaying the third brake light as well, which
has been required in the US since 1986.
Open Doors
FSD Beta 10.12 will now display open doors
WholeMarsBlog/Twitter
FSD Betas have been able to detect and stop or go around
vehicles with open doors for a while now, but Tesla will now show open doors in the
visualization.
When a surrounding vehicle's door is open, the 3D model will
also show the open door and highlight the door in orange.
With this release, FSD Beta now detects and visualizes turn
signals in addition to brake lights.
The car will reportedly react to turn signals it has detected as
well, which should help understand the intentions of other vehicles.
Two Steps Forward, One Step Back
The last major FSD Beta release was version 10.11, which was
first seen more than two months ago.
Tesla has been working on beta 10.12 for a while now and the
amount of changes included in this update are huge according to Elon.
Musk said that due to the amount of changes in this beta, we can
expect two steps forward and one step back.
This is a big one! Expect some two steps forward, one step back
situations. These will be great ironed in point releases, hence ~10.12.2 or 10.13 for wider beta release.
- Elon Musk
There will be some issues, and in certain situations FSD may
have regressed.
Tesla plans to fix any issues that arise with minor revisions to
this release. Expect to see additional FSD Beta 10.12 releases such as 10.12.1 and 10.12.2 in the coming
weeks.
Current Beta Testers
As we have seen with other recent betas, it may be a while until
all current beta testers receive this latest beta.
With beta 10.11, we saw two revisions before the majority of
testers received the beta. We may see a similar situation with this update, given the amount of changes
that were made.
If you're a current beta tester, you may be waiting a couple
weeks before getting this updated FSD Beta.
Additional Testers
There haven't been any signs of Tesla adding additional beta
testers in the US since late 2021.
Elon has previously said that he hopes that Tesla will be able
to add more testers who have opted in to the beta and have a Safety Score of 95 or greater in later revisions of beta 10.12.
We have the technical releases notes for FSD Beta 10.12, but
Reddit user asimo3089 did a great job at interpreting the release notes to give us a better
understanding of what Tesla has improved in this update.
1. Your car better understands what is and is not drivable space.
This makes it more confident in easy situations, and more capable in tricky situations. Your car can
also now use medians for difficult left turns, and accelerates quicker to complete turns.
2. Your car now has a better idea of objects blocking camera views.
Creeping should be less scary.
3. Improved path predictions of where other others on the road will
be. This gives your car better decision making for turns.
4. Sounds like: Your car will drive itself to safety much more
smoothly if your car finds itself in a place it shouldn't be. Better problem solving?
5. Your car should better see the lanes on the road, and how many
of them there are, thanks to new data. This gives better turn confidence and path planning during a turn.
6. Your car is now trained on 180,000 new clips related to what
lanes look like.
7. Your car is less likely to panic brake in a yellow light
scenario, and has a better understanding of lane guidance when going through an intersection.
8. Road edges and road lines are now more accurate.
9. Your car now better understands visibility from the cameras,
thanks to 30,000 new video clips of training data.
10. Speeds of motorcycles, pedestrians and cyclists is now more
accurate. Plus, your car now better predicts which direction a pedestrian is walking.
11. Your car is now less likely to confuse a parked car and an
idling car thanks to 41,000 new clips of training data. This should result in fewer "phantom brakes" or
silly lane changes.
12. Your car now better understands objects that are far away from
you.
13. Your car will plan a better path around vehicles with car doors
open.
14. Objects that are not pedestrians, cyclists, etc, should have
more accurate speed predictions.
15. When changing into an adjacent lane, your car will look further
ahead at vehicle speeds. If somebody up ahead is braking, your car will handle it more
comfortably.
16. Your car used to only predict acceleration (Not speed) for
objects moving adjacently. Now your car will predict acceleration of all moving objects including
objects accelerating across your path.
17. New 3D models for vehicles on your screen. You'll also be shown
vehicles with their doors open.
18. Tesla retired a few old systems and gained 2 frames per second,
per camera, resulting in better performance while self driving.
FSD Beta 10.12 is currently only available to employees, but we
may see a wider release in the next couple days that includes public testers.
However, it could be several weeks before all current testers
receive this update.
More details will surely be uncovered about this beta in the
next few days. Stay tuned for more.
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There has been extensive reporting on what the long-anticipated affordable EV option would become, and we’ve seen numerous news stories mentioning that it was delayed or even arriving on time. The executive team revealed the near-term and long-term plans for Tesla’s upcoming vehicles, and there’s definitely good news to share here.
Updated Timeline
The most important piece of news is that despite all the talk of delays from supposed inside sources, Tesla has confirmed that the plan for its more affordable model remains on schedule for production to begin in the first half of 2025. Tesla’s executive team narrowed that timeline down further - and said that they expect production to kick off as soon as June and that the new model will be in the market shortly thereafter.
While the production timeline itself is on track, Tesla did note that the subsequent ramping process will likely be slower than initially hoped, citing global tariff and financial impacts as challenges to overcome to prepare its production lines.
Hybrid Production Approach
Tesla has once again confirmed that this will not be their next-generation vehicle, built using new production methods. Instead, they outlined a relatively more pragmatic approach for this new model.
Tesla will utilize aspects of both the next-generation platform as well as some parts of its current platforms (namely the Model 3 and Model Y). This means that Tesla will produce this new vehicle on the same manufacturing lines as the Model 3 and Model Y.
This strategy allows Tesla to bring the vehicle to the market more quickly, while also managing capital expenditures more efficiently by using existing infrastructure. However, Tesla’s executive team also noted that this approach, while faster, will result in fewer cost reductions than what might have been achieved with an entirely new platform and dedicated manufacturing process.
Vehicle Design
Using these existing production lines means that Tesla’s new vehicle will likely share some considerable similarities with either the existing Model 3 or Model Y. Rather than being a radically different and smaller vehicle, this new model will resemble the overall form factor and shape of Tesla’s current core offerings, while being optimized for a lower cost.
This doesn’t mean that Tesla is forgetting the overall goal here. Their ultimate goal is to reduce the initial cost of ownership and lower monthly payments for customers while maintaining a standard of excellence and safety.
Not Unboxed
Both at this Earnings Call and previous ones, Tesla has indicated that this new vehicle will not be using the innovative unboxed assembly method, at least for the time being. That relatively unique method will be developed and implemented specifically for the purpose-built Cybercab and for future vehicles on the next-generation platform.
We’re just a few days away from May, so it won’t be long before we see more about this upcoming vehicle. Stay tuned.
In a follow-up move to the current US administration’s goals to introduce a federal framework for autonomous vehicles, the US Department of Transportation (USDOT) is loosening autonomy restrictions following an announcement from Secretary Sean Duffy on X. This new initiative helps streamline complex regulatory processes and foster home-grown innovation.
From the Wright Brothers to the first astronauts on the moon, our nation has always been at the forefront of transportation technology.
That’s why today we're unveiling a new Automated Vehicle Framework from @USDOT’s Innovation Agenda ⬇️ ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/W3kbMUwQSn
As part of the broader upcoming USDOT Innovation Agenda, the newly unveiled AV Framework is designed to promote American innovation and strengthen domestic engineering while maintaining existing safety standards. The framework centers around three key principles:
Prioritize Safety
Unleash Innovation
Enable Commercial Deployment
To kickstart this AV framework, USDOT announced two initial steps focused on streamlining processes and expanding opportunities.
Crash Reporting Requirements
Under the first principle to Prioritize Safety, the National Highway Traffic and Safety Administration (NHTSA) will maintain its Standing General Order requiring crash reporting on Advanced and Automated Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS and ADS).
However, the reporting process will be streamlined following feedback from AV innovators, likely including Tesla. The goal here is to focus on collecting critical safety information while removing unnecessary or duplicative items from the reporting process, thereby reducing the burden without compromising safety.
Cutting Red Tape
Directly tied to the second principle of Unleash Innovation, the framework also seeks to slash red tape. The first step here is the expansion of the Automated Vehicle Exemption Program, or AVEP. This program allows manufacturers to petition for temporary exemptions from certain federal motor vehicle safety standards (FMVSS) for testing or deployment purposes.
Previously, the standard excluded domestically produced vehicles. Now, domestically produced AVs will not need to meet FMVSS, which will broaden the scope for manufacturers to test more innovative and unique designs and technologies.
Single National Standard for AVs
Finally, tied to the third principle of Enable Commerical Development, USDOT intends to move the United States closer to a single national standard for autonomous vehicles. This aims to prevent a confusing and inefficient patchwork of state-level or city-level laws and regulations, which can create hurdles for companies attempting to innovate, deploy, and scale their technology.
A unified standard across the United States also means that Canada and Mexico will likely be able to follow, as they share homologization standards across North America, including for vehicle crash safety and some autonomy regulations.
What This Means for Tesla
These framework changes will likely have a substantial impact on Tesla. The move towards a national standard is potentially the most impactful change, as Tesla identified regulatory hurdles as one of the most significant challenges it will face with the deployment of both Unsupervised FSD and its Robotaxi network.
The reduction of FMVSS requirements and streamlined reporting will likely play a role in the future as well. The FMVSS requirements are probably already being worked on, if not already met, by the Cybercab and other vehicles in Tesla’s lineup.
Meanwhile, the streamlined reporting will be helpful once Tesla officially launches its Robotaxi network in June.