During the Q4 2024 Earnings Call, Elon Musk confirmed that Tesla’s next-generation affordable vehicle is set to launch in the first half of 2025. Now, more than three months into 2025, Tesla may be just a few months away from unveiling their next-gen model.
Surprisingly, details remain scarce—no major leaks, early sightings, or concrete reveals. That hasn’t stopped speculation, though.
Project Redwood
Internally, Tesla refers to the project as Project Redwood, while externally, fans and skeptics alike have dubbed it the Model Q or Model 2. A Chinese tech outlet leaked some details back in December, suggesting a vehicle sized somewhere between a MINI and a Model 3.
That estimate aligns with expectations for Tesla’s compact, mass-market EV, but many questions remain. Where will Tesla build it? Will it share parts with other models? And when will customers finally get their hands on it?
We have some ideas on how to answer these questions—and more. Some of this information comes from past Tesla events, such as the “We, Robot” autonomy event and previous earnings calls.
As always, we’ll cite sources where possible and point out where we’re making informed guesses or speculating.
Based on the Cybercab
@DominicBRNKMN/X
Tesla plans to build the Cybercab and the next-generation vehicle at Giga Texas. Initially, both were slated for production at Giga Mexico, but with increased tariffs under the new administration, those plans fell through. As a result, the two vehicles will likely be built side by side, making it essential for Tesla to share as many components as possible.
Just as the Model 3 and Model Y, as well as the Model S and Model X, share numerous parts, the next-gen vehicle is expected to have a significant overlap with the Cybercab. Both are designed for inner-city travel and built with affordability in mind.
However, this doesn’t necessarily mean the next-gen vehicle will resemble the Cybercab. Instead, it will likely use similar components, such as a single lower-horsepower rear motor, a smaller battery pack, and a more compact frame. By streamlining parts production, Tesla can drive down costs to make both the Cybercab and the next-gen vehicle financially viable.
One key objective is ensuring that every Tesla product feels like a premium purchase—delivering more value than its price suggests. To achieve this, Tesla has been exploring new materials and innovative combinations to improve durability, design, and overall build quality, with the next-gen affordable vehicle being no exception.
Paint-Impregnated Panels
The Cybercab is using unique paint-impregnated plastic panels for its body shell—designed to be easy to produce, customize, and replace. The best part is that nicks and scratches are far less noticeable since the paint runs through the material. This makes repairs and replacements quick and hassle-free in case of accidental damage.
While the Cybercab will only come in the gold color we’ve seen, Tesla is expected to offer multiple variants and color options for the next-gen model. Given how striking the Cybercab’s base color already looks, there’s a strong potential for new finishes and textures unlike anything seen before.
City-Range
Not a Tesla App
At the We, Robot event, Tesla shared additional details about the Cybercab, and we used that information to estimate its battery size. Based on our findings, we estimate the battery pack to be between 51.6vkWh and 74.6vkWh, which would give the Cybercab an estimated range of 220 to 270 miles, assuming it achieves the 5.5 miles per kWh Tesla mentioned.
Tesla also confirmed during the Q3 2024 Earnings Call that the Cybercab will feature a more power-efficient powertrain, improving its efficiency over current models. This powertrain is likely to be shared with the next-gen model, meaning it will also see a lower miles per kW metric.
Wireless Charging
We don’t believe that Tesla will produce the next-gen model with wireless charging, like the Cybercab. Implementing wireless charging is expensive, and currently, the Cybercab is the only known vehicle capable of using it. The Cybertruck has the necessary receivers, but the feature hasn’t been implemented yet, but may be available as a retrofit.
Tesla has already said they plan to roll out wireless charging at select V4 Superchargers in the future, but these will likely be aimed at the Cybercab and Tesla’s other flagship models. This means that the upcoming Model S and Model X refresh could include wireless charging, but it may remain exclusive to higher-end models before trickling down to the rest of the lineup, due to cost.
Price
Tesla’s next-gen model has often been referred to as the “$25,000” model, however, we need to understand that was more than four years ago. Tesla has been mum on the price point of the vehicle, except for the $25k price tag that was shared back in 2021.
We believe Tesla will launch its next-gen vehicle for about $30k before any incentives. Once you account for gas savings and potential incentives, this car could sway a lot of customers due to price alone.
Release Date
Tesla previously hinted at a special event tied to its latest referral rewards system, which we believe may coincide with the unveiling of the next-gen affordable model.
With just a couple months left until until the midway point of 2025, it may not be long before we find out more details about this lower-cost vehicle.
We’re excited to cover the event in person, so if you’re considering buying a Tesla, don’t forget to check out our referral codes.
Subscribe
Subscribe to our newsletter to stay up to date on the latest Tesla news, upcoming features and software updates.
Tesla’s Dan W Priestley attended the Advanced Clean Transportation (ACT) Expo in Anaheim, California, and provided an update on Tesla’s Semi truck program. The presentation covered several key developments on the status of Tesla’s Nevada Semi Factory, refinements to the Semi, and Tesla’s plans for charging and ramping production through 2026.
Let’s dig in and take a look at everything that was captured by the Out of Spec team at ACT Expo. The original video is embedded below if you’d like to watch it.
Semi Factory & Production Ramp
Priestley reaffirmed the timelines mentioned during Tesla’s Q4 2024 Earnings Call that Tesla will scale Semi production in 2026. To achieve this, Tesla has been actively building and expanding the Gigafactory Nevada site, specifically to support the production of the Tesla Semi. The dedicated Semi facility will have a targeted annual capacity of 50,000 Semi trucks.
Following the beginning of production, Tesla will utilize the initial trucks to integrate into its own logistics operations. This will serve as both a final real-world testing ground as well as an opportunity for Tesla to gather data internally. Tesla plans to begin subsequent customer deliveries throughout 2026 as the ramp-up continues.
Reuters also reported that Tesla is hiring over 1,000 new employees at the Semi Factory to begin the rapid ramping of the program.
Semi has already amassed 7.9 million miles with Tesla’s current testing and operational fleets, providing some real-world data and testing. Feedback for the truck has been exceptionally successful, with many drivers praising the Semi’s performance and comfort.
New Tesla Semi Features
Of course, it wouldn’t be a Tesla keynote without showing off some new things. The Semi will be available in 500-mile and 300-mile range configurations, now featuring updated mirror designs and a drop-down glass section to improve visibility and allow easier interaction with external elements—such as control panels at ports, for example.
New Electric Power Take-Off (e-PTO)
The Tesla Semi will also feature a new capability called Electric Power Take-Off, or e-PTO system. Similar to the PTO systems found on other vehicles, this will allow the Semi’s high-voltage battery to power auxiliary equipment at variable voltages. That includes being able to power things like climate-controlled reefer trailers, potentially replacing the noisy and polluting diesel generators traditionally used for this purpose.
Charging and Batteries
Out of Spec BITS/YouTube
Tesla is also working on an updated battery pack design for the final production design of the Semi. This new pack is designed to be more cost-effective to manufacture. The battery pack itself is slightly smaller than before, but the truck maintains the same level of range through efficiencies. Dan also confirmed during his keynote that the battery cells for the Semi will be sourced domestically inside the United States, helping to alleviate potential burdens due to tariffs.
On the charging front, Tesla is using MCS - the Megawatt Charging System - capable of 1.2MW - and designed specifically for Semi. The system uses the same V4 charging hardware found at Supercharger sites but focuses on that larger power output. Alongside a smaller physical footprint, Tesla will be able to configure these V4 cabinets for either dedicated Semi charging or for shared power scenarios with regular Superchargers. Tesla is also working on an integrated overnight charging product, but Tesla isn’t ready to talk about it yet.
46 Semi Charger Sites Coming
The 46 new MCS sites coming soon.
Out of Spec BITS/YouTube
Finally, Tesla has made substantial investments in a public charging network for the Semi. There are currently 46 sites in progress throughout the United States, and plans for significant expansion throughout 2026 and 2027. These sites are strategically located alongside major truck routes and within industrial areas to support long-haul and regional operations. Tesla is aiming to offer the lowest possible energy costs to operators to help incentivize adoption.
This was one of the best updates to the Tesla Semi we’ve received since its initial unveiling. It seems that the Semi will receive a big portion of Tesla’s attention in 2026, while Robotaxi and FSD Unsupervised take the stage this year.
The Tesla Semi has the potential to transform transportation even more dramatically than EVs already have, serving as a testament to Tesla’s mission to electrify the world.
Sentry Mode is an invaluable tool for owners - capable of keeping the vehicle safe and secure even when you’re not around. This is especially true in recent times, with the misguided and unfortunate incidents surrounding Tesla ownership, including damage to Tesla vehicles, showrooms, and Superchargers.
B-pillar Camera Recording and Dashcam Viewer
With the 2025 Spring Update on 2025.14, Tesla is expanding Sentry Mode’s functionality for certain vehicles with some much-needed changes. Sentry Mode and Dashcam can now record footage from the vehicle’s B-pillar cameras. These cameras are located on the side pillars of the vehicle, between the front and rear doors.
This adds two crucially needed viewpoints, making Tesla’s Sentry Mode a truly 360-degree security system. These cameras also provide the best angles for capturing license plates when parked, so they will be greatly appreciated by owners in the event of an incident.
These vehicles are also receiving an improved Dashcam Viewer, which now displays the six camera feeds along the bottom and a new grid view. It also allows users to jump back or forward in the video in 15-second increments.
However, to the disappointment of many owners, not all vehicles are receiving these updates due to the additional processing power needed.
Limited to Hardware 4 Vehicles, Ryzen Isn’t Enough
We have confirmed that Tesla is only adding the additional camera recording and improved Dashcam Viewer on hardware 4 (HW4 / AI4) vehicles. The newer hardware presumably has the additional processing power and bandwidth needed to handle recording and saving the two additional video streams during Sentry Mode and Dashcam.
For the time being, owners of HW3 vehicles are not receiving this feature. This includes all vehicles with HW3, even those with AMD Ryzen infotainment systems. If you’re not sure whether your vehicle has HW3 or HW4, you can refer to our FSD hardware guide.
While there’s no doubt that recording two additional camera streams would be more computationally intensive, we hope that Tesla adds the improved Dashcam Viewer to HW3 vehicles in a future update.
Cybertruck Also Missing Improved Sentry Mode
Surprisingly, and most confusing for many - is the fact that the Cybertruck is also not receiving the improved Dashcam Viewer and B-pillar camera recording with this update. This struck us as odd, especially since the Cybertruck is currently the only vehicle with the improved, more efficient version of Sentry Mode.
Every Cybertruck is equipped with HW4 and AMD Ryzen infotainment units, so this clearly isn’t a hardware restriction. It’s possible the more efficient Sentry Mode is playing a role here due to the infrastructure changes. However, we expect Tesla to address this in a future update and eventually release these features for the Cybertruck as well.
Given the Cybertruck’s high visibility and its status as a frequent target for both positive and negative attention, many owners hoped that the Cybertruck would be one of the vehicles to receive this feature.
Adaptive Headlights
Tesla finally started rolling out its adaptive headlights in North America. While the new Model Y already came with the feature when it was released last month, other vehicles with matrix headlights are now receiving the feature in the Spring Update.
All vehicles with matrix headlights are receiving this feature, which includes the new and old Model 3, first-gen Model Y, and the new Model S and Model X.
If you’re not sure if your vehicle includes matrix headlights, check out our guide. What’s interesting here is that older vehicles that were retrofitted with matrix headlights due to an accident or user replacement are also receiving the adaptive headlights feature.
Legacy Model S & Model X
As with most updates, the older legacy Model S and Model X are not receiving all the features included in this update. Unfortunately, some of the features, which include the Blind Spot Camera on the instrument cluster, Save Trunk Height Based on Location and Keep Accessory Power On are limited to the new Model S and X.
Legacy S and X models will receive the Alternative Trip Plans feature, Avoid Highways (Requires Intel MCU) and the Keyboard Languages feature.
These vehicles are also receiving all the features in the Minor Updates section except for the visualization showing how far the door is opened, which is exclusive to the Cybertruck. These additions include improved music search results, contact photos in the phone app, automatic connecting to hotspots, the ability to show third-party chargers, view Supercharger amenities, and various improvements to music services.
While many users will be disappointed not to receive the B-pillar camera recording and Dashcam Viewer improvements, it’s important to remember that Tesla typically does a great job at bringing features to older vehicles, at least with the Model 3 and Model Y. If a feature isn’t added, it’s usually due to a hardware limitation.