In the high-stakes game of technological innovation and market disruption, Tesla has come out on top despite the odds. Meanwhile, Apple Inc.'s recent decision to cancel its electric car project, Project Titan, serves as a poignant reminder of what might have been. What would’ve happened if Tim Cook met with Elon Musk?
During the darkest days of the Model 3 program, I reached out to Tim Cook to discuss the possibility of Apple acquiring Tesla (for 1/10 of our current value). He refused to take the meeting.
Given its success, it’s easy to forget where Tesla came from. Still, when Apple fails to pull it off, it reflects on the potential strategic missteps of tech giants when faced with groundbreaking opportunities.
Apple's Missed Chance
Apple decided not to make electric cars, even though it had the money and history of shaking up markets. This choice shows they didn't want to stray too far from what the company is good at, even if it meant missing out on a big opportunity. But what did they leave on the table? Apple has some of the brightest minds and the resources to create the unimaginable. Yet Apple’s wonder team could not figure out how to get the technology right and the price point under $100,000 even with razor-thin margins.
Again, that shows what Tesla has been able to do. Not only building amazing cars but also reconstructing the manufacturing process, developing battery technology, and turning the automotive world on its head. Many of these pieces were already in place when Musk was in his “darkest days” with Tesla. Model 3 was a challenge that almost killed Tesla, and Musk claims he has PTSD from the experience. However, he was ready to hand all that technology, knowledge, and manufacturing to Apple for a bargain price.
The Road Not Taken: Apple's Strategic Pivot
Despite its vast resources and history of disruptive innovation, Apple's decision to shelve Project Titan suggests a reluctance to venture too far from its core competencies, even in the face of a potentially market-defining opportunity. While pragmatic, this pivot away from electric vehicles may be viewed through the lens of history as a missed chance to redefine another industry.
It evokes the question: Could Apple have mirrored Tesla's success in revolutionizing the automotive industry had it embraced the same level of audacity and vision that Musk demonstrated? The answer is yes, but Apple reverted to its core strengths, which it has had obvious success. Perhaps it would've continued if the company were more desperate and needed a product to drive the stock price up and rattle the tech world. But Apple is doing just fine without cars.
While this could be considered a win for Tesla and other EV manufacturers, which have avoided a significant new competitor on the field, it may be a bit of a setback. Apple, like Tesla did, would’ve brought a refreshing take to the automotive industry. We can only imagine what the company had in store. Tesla’s mission is to accelerate the world's transition to sustainable energy. An Apple car would’ve helped that mission.
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For the first time in quite a while, Tesla has increased the price of one of its vehicle offerings. The Model S Long Range and the Model S Plaid have both received a hefty price increase. However, not all is bad - as Tesla also added a new benefit for buyers.
Price Increase
The price increase for the Model S is $5,000 - currently only in the United States. This price increase will likely impact other markets, including Canada, in the coming days.
The Model S Long Range now starts at $79,990, while the Model S Plaid now starts at $94,990. The Model S and Model X now have the same starting price. Interestingly, that’s also the same pricing point for the Cybertruck AWD and Cyberbeast Trimotor non-Foundation Series.
The vehicle configuration does not appear to have changed, so the new pricing is simply an increase rather than the addition or removal of features. Tesla previously cut the price of the Model S and Model X by 15% in 2023, so this could simply be an adjustment to ensure that the vehicle pricing stays in line with inflation and other factors.
Free Lifetime Supercharging
For those on the fence about ordering a Model S, Tesla has brought back Free Lifetime Supercharging when you order a new Model S on or after December 13, 2024. As always, Free Lifetime Supercharging is restricted to the buyer’s Tesla account and to that specific vehicle. It cannot be transferred to another vehicle or another owner after ownership transfer. It’s worth noting, that it also doesn’t exclude the owner from receiving Supercharger idle fees or congestion fees. There is currently no end date for this promotion.
There are currently no changes to the Model X, neither a price increase nor the addition of Lifetime Superchargering. However, when Tesla makes changes to one of their premium vehicles, it usually affects the other one as well. So be on the lookout for potential changes to the Model X offering in the coming days.
We’ve seen Tesla value Lifetime Supercharging at $5,000, so this falls in line with the price increase we’re seeing. It’s possible that Tesla will begin to bring back Lifetime Supercharging as a perk for buying into their more premium Model S and Model X cars, or this could be another temporary promotion to get buyers who are on the fence to go ahead and make their purchase while this promotion lasts.
Tesla recently showed off a demo of Optimus, its humanoid robot, walking around in moderately challenging terrain—not on a flat surface but on dirt and slopes. These things can be difficult for a humanoid robot, especially during the training cycle.
Most interestingly, Milan Kovac, VP of Engineering for Optimus, clarified what it takes to get Optimus to this stage. Let’s break down what he said.
Optimus is Blind
Optimus is getting seriously good at walking now - it can keep its balance over uneven ground - even while walking blind. Tesla is currently using just the sensors, all powered by a neural net running on the embedded computer.
Essentially, Tesla is building Optimus from the ground up, relying on as much additional data as possible while it trains vision. This is similar to how they train FSD on vehicles, using LiDAR rigs to validate the vision system’s accuracy. While Optimus doesn’t have LiDAR, it relies on all those other sensors on board, many of which will likely become simplified as vision takes over as the primary sensor.
Today, Optimus is walking blind, but it’s able to react almost instantly to changes in the terrain underneath it, even if it falls or slips.
What’s Next?
Next up, Tesla AI will be adding vision to Optimus - helping complete the neural net. Remember, Optimus runs on the same overall AI stack as FSD - in fact, Optimus uses an FSD computer and an offshoot of the FSD stack for vision-based tasks.
Milan mentions they’re planning on adding vision to help the robot plan ahead and improve its walking gait. While the zombie shuffle is iconic and a little bit amusing, getting humanoid robots to walk like humans is actually difficult.
There’s plenty more, too - including better responsiveness to velocity and direction commands and learning to fall and stand back up. Falling while protecting yourself to minimize damage is something natural to humans - but not exactly natural to something like a robot. Training it to do so is essential in keeping the robot, the environment around it, and the people it is interacting with safe.
We’re excited to see what’s coming with Optimus next because it is already getting started in some fashion in Tesla’s factories.
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