Hertz Global Holdings, a major player in the vehicle rental industry, recently announced a significant change in its electric vehicle strategy. The company is selling about 20,000 EVs, including a substantial number of Teslas, from its U.S. fleet. This decision, made just two years after their initial partnership with Tesla, signifies a notable pivot in Hertz's approach to electric mobility and has implications for the broader EV market, particularly for Tesla.
The move by Hertz is believed to be a response to a cooling demand in the electric vehicle sector. It's a trend that is not isolated to Hertz but resonates across the industry. Automakers such as General Motors and Ford are revising their EV production plans due to this slowdown in sales growth. However, before the UAW saw the big three give major wage hikes, EVs were ramping up across the automotive sector.
Financial Impact and Market Perception of Tesla
The decision by Hertz to reduce its Tesla fleet has significant financial implications. Firstly, thousands of used Teslas are flooding the market, driving down the resale value. Second, since the announcement, Tesla’s stock has been declining.
The factors influencing Hertz's decision to sell off its Tesla fleet indicate the broader challenges the EV industry faces. The company claims that higher expenses related to collisions and damages for EVs have been a significant concern. This issue has led Hertz to shift its focus away from its initial goal of electrifying a substantial portion of its fleet. How this affects Tesla’s rumored in-house Rental Program is anyone’s guess at this point.
Tesla doesn’t do much advertising, but Hertz certainly does. The Hertz advertising campaign featured 7-time Super Bowl Champion Tom Brady behind the wheel of a Model 3. When the G.O.A.T endorses a brand, millions listen. However, this was not utilized as part of what could’ve been a parallel marketing campaign by Tesla.
Brady was even quoted as saying: “I've been driving an EV for years, and knowing Hertz is leading the way with their electric fleet speaks to how the world is changing and the way companies are approaching being environmentally and socially conscious.”
Tom Brady in a Model 3
Not a Tesla App
The Future of Tesla in the EV Landscape
The recent move by Hertz to sell a large portion of its electric fleet, particularly Teslas, signals a complex period for the EV market. It raises questions about Hertz’ transition to electric and the role of companies like Tesla in shaping its future. Tesla is the sector's pioneer and has been at the forefront of the EV industry, pushing boundaries with its innovative technology and design. However, as some manufacturers mysteriously shift away from electric (right after the big three settled labor strife), Tesla will continue to navigate these changes while maintaining its leadership position.
One of the significant challenges for Tesla in this evolving market is balancing innovation with operational and financial sustainability. The company needs to address the concerns highlighted by Hertz's decision, such as the higher costs associated with EV maintenance and repairs. Additionally, Tesla must continue to innovate in areas like battery technology, charging infrastructure, and autonomous driving to stay ahead of the competition.
Tesla's Role in a Changing EV Ecosystem
The perceived cooling demand for EVs also allows Tesla to reassess its market strategy. This could involve exploring new segments, enhancing customer engagement, and further improving the affordability and accessibility of its vehicles. Tesla's response to these market dynamics will be crucial in defining its future trajectory in the EV industry.
Tesla's influence extends beyond just manufacturing electric vehicles; it plays a significant role in shaping the EV ecosystem. For instance, the company's advancements in battery technology have implications for energy storage and renewable energy integration. Tesla's impact on the automotive industry has also single-handedly pushed other manufacturers to accelerate their transition to electric mobility.
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Tesla is holding its 2025 Q1 earnings call today at 2:30 pm PT / 5:30 pm ET / 9:30 pm UTC. The earnings call will be followed by a Q&A session with Tesla executives, including Elon Musk.
We expect the focus to be on Tesla sales for the quarter, FSD Unsupservised and the Robotaxi network. Tesla may also discuss its upcoming, more affordable model, Optimus, and other products.
Listen Live
The event will be live-streamed on Tesla’s site. It is also expected to be streamed on X and YouTube like it has been in the past. Tesla has changed this from an Earnings Call to a Company Update, but it’s unclear whether the phrase change holds any significance in what will be shared.
Update: You can listen to Tesla’s earnings call live below. If you prefer, you can also listen live on Tesla’s website.
Start Time
Tesla's live stream starts at 2:30 pm PT, which is the following times around the world:
2:30 pm Pacific Time
5:30 pm Eastern Time
10:30 pm UTC
10:30 pm - London, England
11:30 pm - Berlin, Germany
9:30 am (April 23rd) - Sydney, Australia
Q&A Questions
The questions asked during the Q&A portion of the call come directly from investors. These are currently the top-voted questions, so we’ll likely see answers to several of these questions:
What are the highest risk items on the critical path to robotaxi launch and scaling?
When will FSD unsupervised be available for personal use on personally-owned cars?
Is Tesla still on track for releasing “more affordable models” this year? Or will you be focusing on simplified versions to enhance affordability, similar to the RWD Cybertruck?
Does Tesla see robotaxi as a winner-take-most market, and as you approach the Austin launch, how do you expect to compare against Waymo’s offering, especially regarding pricing, geofencing and regulatory flexibility?
Can you please provide an update on the unboxed method and how that is progressing?
How is Tesla positioning itself to flexibly adapt to global economic risks in the form of tariffs, political biases, etc.?
Does Tesla still have a battery supply constraint (noted on Q4 ER call) and how does this change w/tariffs?
Did Tesla experience any meaningful changes in order inflow rate in Q1 relating to all of the rumors of “brand damage”?
Regarding the Tesla Optimus pilot line, could you confirm if it is currently operational? If so, what is the current production rate of Optimus bots per week? Additionally, how might the recent tariffs impact the scalability of this production line moving forward?
Robotaxi still on track for this year?’
Look Back at 2025 Q1 Numbers
Most of Tesla’s Q1 deliveries, 323,800 units, were unsurprisingly for the Model 3 and Model Y, while the “Other Models” category (including the Cybertruck, Model S, and Model X) accounted for 12,881 deliveries.
Comparing these numbers to Q1 2024, the Model 3/Y is down about 13%, while the Model S/X and Cybertruck are down about 24%.
In terms of production, Tesla built 345,454 Model 3/Y vehicles and 17,161 from its “Other Models” line. The company attributed the production drop to the Model Y changeover but stated that the ramp is “going well.” However, deliveries and production were both down year over year.
Q1 2025
Q1 2024
Q4 2024
Model 3/Y Deliveries
323,800
369,783
471,930
Model 3/Y Production
345,454
412,376
436,718
Other Models Deliveries
12,881
17,027
23,640
Other Models Production
17,161
20,995
22,727
Total Deliveries
336,681
386,810
495,570
Total Production
362,615
433,371
459,445
Although Tesla doesn’t officially break down its numbers by region, Troy Teslike, who closely monitors Tesla's delivery and production numbers has provided estimates that show Tesla’s deliveries across regions. Tesla delivered the most vehicles in China this past quarter, so it’ll be interesting to see if this trend continues.
His estimates for the regional break down are below:
Tesla’s Giga Texas factory usually gives us the first site of Tesla’s upcoming products. We first saw the Cybertruck and Model Y castings here. With Giga Texas being one of Tesla’s largest factories, it’s logical that most products would originate here.
Tesla has also stated that it intends to manufacture the Cybercab, Semi, the next-generation vehicle, and Optimus at Giga Texas over the coming years. The affordable vehicle and Cybercab were originally intended to be manufactured at Giga Mexico, but the plans for that facility were waylaid by changes in economic policy.
Robotaxi Castings
These new castings were spotted by Joe Tegtmeyer, who regularly does drone flights of Giga Texas. Joe pointed out that these castings don’t look like the usual Model Y or Cybertruck castings usually seen outside Giga Texas.
With an eagle eye, @minusYCore on X also spotted some interesting text on the frames holding the castings up. In particular, the castings say “RTTX050” and “W68-RSF AS-CAST”. These could be interpreted as ‘Robotaxi Texas’ and ‘Rear SubFrame,’ as Tesla marks Cybertruck castings as “CTTX.” The as-cast portion indicates that these particular castings haven’t been trimmed yet, according to the X user.
The castings laid out.
@JoeTegtmeyer
The size and shape of these castings—combined with rumors that Tesla’s more affordable vehicle has been delayed—suggest that these castings are intended for the Cybercab.
These castings are much flatter and appear to be a different size than the castings found throughout Giga Texas, indicating that they are intended for an entirely different product.
It’s possible that these are the first castings used by Tesla to test their unboxed assembly process, which the Cybercab is expected to rely on. If you take a closer look at the video below, you’ll note that these new castings look very similar to the ones in the unboxed assembly video.
Interestingly, Tesla did say that they don’t intend to have the Cybercab available for customers before late 2026 or early 2027, but we’ll likely hear updated timelines as Tesla’s Q1 2025 Earnings Call tomorrow.
A more vertical look at the castings.
@JoeTegtmeyer
New Giga Presses
To top it all off, new parts for a Giga Press - the machine Tesla uses to make these castings - were also sighted in Texas. These machines are few and far between, and each one is highly specialized for the particular vehicle it produces. Seeing new parts coming in usually indicates that a new assembly line is under construction, or that changes are being made to an existing line to either expand it or update it.
There’s a lot happening and we will hopefully know more tomorrow evening.
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