First look at FSD Beta 10.69.3 as it starts going out to public testers

By Kevin Armstrong
Tesla improves the full-screen visualization by adding destination details in beta 10.69.3
Tesla improves the full-screen visualization by adding destination details in beta 10.69.3
DirtyTesla/Twitter

Several Tesla enthusiasts posted videos to YouTube showing viewers their first drives with Full Self Driving (FSD) Beta 10.69.3. Generally, the reviews are positive. Most videos have moments where the driver expects the program to make an error; instead, the Tesla surprises the user and executes complex areas without intervention.

Elon Musk has been touting this version of FSD as a significant update, but after the release, he tweeted: Still a fair bit of polish to be done on 69.3. It's a major release posing as a minor release.

Destination ETA in Full Screen

Besides the numerous FSD improvements and the new features Tesla has added in this update, Tesla has also made improvements to the full screen visualization.

When you enlarge the visualization so that it takes up the full screen, your destination details will now remain in the top right corner of the screen.

This includes information such as your destination, your arrival time, and distance and time remaining. This crucial information was previously hidden if you enlarged the visualization. Your next turn is also displayed at the top of the screen instead of at the bottom.

First Impressions

@Wholemarsblog, who is an FSD Beta tester, posted a video on YouTube as he cruised around San Francisco. During the video, he said, "they delivered on basically what everyone said was impossible for them to do." He was impressed with the update, "I think people will be blown away by this product when they try it later this month. It does pretty much what they said it would do. You get in the car, you tell it where you want to go anywhere in the country, and it just drives you there, you just sit there, simple as that."

Whole Mars Catalog's Take

@blktsla, also posted on YouTube. He put the program to work, even driving into direct sunlight to test the Vision system. A few times, he gave a thumbs up to the camera after noticing a significant difference from early versions of the program on the same drive. "It's natural. It's human-like. It doesn't make me feel uncomfortable," he noted. He also pointed out the display, how the animation was solid, not wavering as the program tried to figure out what is going on, "Everything is a lot more still and stable in the visualization, specifically when standing still."

Black Tesla's Take

However, @blktsla did intervene a few times, including once at an unprotected left, "that was awkward," he said, "maybe an anomaly, but not a good look again." He gave the decision-making a six out of ten but was still quite sure about the program, "confidence of the car is really what impressed me. I'm going to give it a seven." He also gave it an eight for comfort.

Tesla Owners of Silicon Valley posted a ride with 10.69.3. There was less commentary than in the other videos. However, during the video a cyclist cuts the corner too close, and the Tesla has to make a quick decision to move to the right and slow down immediately.

Tesla Owners of Silicone Valley's Take

Dirty Tesla's ride on YouTube went through some complex areas. While the host seemed impressed with the update, he noted a few interventions: "I don't like seeing those things we are this far into beta, but that is why it is beta. It is not done."

Dirty Tesla's Take

@Wholemarsblog pointed out, "you definitely see the capability and the potential, at least in some areas. One area it definitely exceeds humans is the focus. It always has complete focus. It's never distracted. There are a lot of things this thing will be able to help humans with."

Musk is confident that this program will make the road safer and prevent countless injuries and fatalities. All the testers and Musk say the system is not 100 percent, but it has improved. Tesla has said that FSD will go out to everyone in the U.S. and Canada by the end of this year.

Tesla's Shareholder Event: Vote Results And Video Replay

By Karan Singh
Not a Tesla App

Yesterday on X, Elon Musk posted that the two key resolutions for the upcoming Shareholder Meeting were both passing by wide margins – and would subsequently go on to pass at today’s Shareholder Meeting.

Musk Compensation Package and Tesla’s Move to Texas

The two key resolutions, one on Elon Musk’s performance-based compensation package, and the other on Tesla’s re-incorporation to Texas, both passed in the preliminary stages. Each required a minimum number of ‘Yes’ votes to pass at the Shareholder Meeting.

The performance-based compensation package only required a simple majority – a certain number of Yes votes, with abstentions not counting as Nos. On the other hand, the move to Texas required a full majority, with abstentions counting as Nos.

Elon Musk declared his victory on X in these two key votes, and Tesla’s share prices moved favorably in post-market, and then again in pre-market trading. This is a positive indicator for Tesla and Elon Musk. On X, Elon recently agreed that given he has received a controlling stake in Tesla, he would work towards making Tesla the most valuable company on Earth.

Other Resolutions

The first five proposals are Tesla corporate proposals, while the remainder are shareholder proposals, and are covered in the table below. For more details, you can read Tesla’s Proxy Package. The proposals are ordered below in the order of presentation.

Resolution

Status

Elect 2 Directors for a 3 Year term (James Murdock, Kimball Musk)

PASS

Non-Binding Advisory-basis Executive Compensation

PASS

Move Tesla to Texas

PASS

Elon Musk’s Compensation Package

PASS

Appoint PricewaterhouseCoopers as Tesla’s accounting firm.

PASS

Reduce Director Terms to 1 Year

FAIL

Simple Majority Stockholder Voting

FAIL

Annual Report on Anti-Harassment and Discrimination

PASS

Freedom of Association and Collective Bargaining Policy

PASS

Report on EM Radiation and Wireless Technologies, and effects on humans.

PASS

Adopting targets and reports for sustainability metrics for executive compensation

PASS

Moratorium on sourcing minerals from deep-sea mining.

PASS

Shareholder Meeting Event

You can view Tesla’s shareholder meeting below:

Tesla Likely to Launch Robotaxi Service in Next 5 Years, May Account for 90% of Future Profit

By Karan Singh
ARK Invest

Tesla is on the verge of its Robotaxi announcement event on 8/8, and major investors like Ark Invest are examining and refreshing their bull case scenarios.

Robotaxi as a Focus

Ark Invest sees Robotaxi as a focus of Tesla’s ongoing business and sees Tesla’s autonomous ride-hailing revenue to net nearly $1 trillion in 2029. In comparison, they estimate Tesla’s vehicle sales to account for $0.4 trillion in revenue. With this bull case, Ark Invest also sees Tesla’s share price soaring to $3,100 by 2029. Ark Invest’s bear case sees the share price moving to $2,000 and robotaxi netting $0.63 billion in revenue.

Ark Invest gives Tesla a 58% chance of launching its robotaxi service in 2025, and a 38% chance in 2026. It’s clear that Tesla’s future lies in operating a fleet of autonomous vehicles and the question is just when it will happen. Given FSD’s massive improvements between FSD V11 and FSD V12, there is a possibility of Tesla meeting these estimates, although a lot depends on how fast improvements will continue to come. While FSD V12 is impressive, it’s still a long way from a true autonomous vehicle.

Rate of Improvement

Miles driven by Tesla FSD versus autonomous competitors
Miles driven by Tesla FSD versus autonomous competitors
ARK Invest

Ark’s case is focused on the fact that FSD’s rapid improvement will continue, and a lot of that may be determined with the next few releases, including FSD 12.4.1, v12.5, and v12.6. When comparing Tesla to autonomous vehicles, Tesla has a drastic lead in miles driven, in fact, it’s so large that you can barely even see Tesla’s competitors. Tesla is at 1.3 billion miles driven with FSD, while the closest competitors are just reaching 15 million autonomous miles driven. While there’s a drastic difference in capabilities between Tesla’s FSD and autonomous vehicles such as Google’s Waymo, Tesla has the ability to gather data 86 times quicker.

Training data is key to building autonomous vehicles, and Tesla is currently the king of vehicle-related data.

Services Company

We previously wrote about whether Tesla’s future will be as a car company or a services company – and major investors such as Ark Invest and Morgan Stanley see Tesla’s AI services as a major driver of business in the future, and the focus of future revenue and profits.

Robotaxi, as both a service and as a physical product, has the opportunity to shake up markets in a unique way, providing quick, clean, and safe transportation between local destinations in urban areas, which could quickly outcompete traditional services like taxis, and tech competitors like Uber or Lyft. The market for robotaxi is untapped and massive, but Tesla isn’t the only one chasing the goal.

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